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Musharrafs end game
May, 31st 2008

 There are reports from Pakistan that the long-time president-dictator Pervez Musharraf may be contemplating an exit strategy. Several events over the last few days, point to developments on Pakistans presidential front. Here are ten important happenings that point to a rapidly deteriorating scenario for Musharraf.

1. This Wednesday night, Musharraf had his longest ever (3 and a half hours) meeting with Pakistans new Army chief Kayani

2. Key Musharraf loyalist in the army have been transferred during the last few hours

3. A. Q. Khan, Pakistans infamous nuclear scientist, openly blames Musharraf for nuclear proliferation

4. Nawaz Sharif, a former prime minister, calls Musharraf a traitor, demanding the president be tried for treason.

5. Karachi Stock Exchange index slips, indicating the Pakistani market is jittery about impending political events

6. There are reports that Musharraf has decided to move from the Army house to the Presidential house.

7. Musharrafs long meeting with the army chief happened on Wednesday night, after an entire day of hectic meetings with army commanders and loyalists.

8. So far, Musharraf has enjoyed steady support from the Americans, but the changing political winds in North America leave Musharraf with a very short window to plan a safe exit strategy without any worries about being charged with high crimes. A lot of Musharrafs supporters in the current US administration are already planning their own exit strategies, and Musharrafs list of friends may be dwindling fast.

9. Today, Pakistans naval chief starts a week-long trip to the United Kingdom

10. Also today, a tribunal in Lahore, will decide the fate and the validity of former PM Nawaz Sharifs candidacy for by-elections. A clearance to a Sharif candidacy by that tribubal, puts Musharrafs chances at further risk, since any good news for Sharif must now be considered bad news for Musharraf.

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