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Global appetite for mergers and acquisitions sparked by stock market rally in 2017
January, 02nd 2018

Mergers and acquisitions had another strong year in 2017, reaching their third highest annual level since the 2008 financial crisis, as CEOs were emboldened by buoyant markets to pursue transformative deals – even when their targets resisted.

Companies negotiated large deals this year even before they had certainty that US tax reforms advocated by President Donald Trump’s Republican Party would become law, as economic growth around the world, including in Europe, accelerated.

Setting 2017 apart was the willingness of potential acquirers to approach their targets unsolicited. In some instances, as with chipmaker Broadcom’s $103bn (£76.2bn) cash-and-stock bid to take over peer Qualcomm, the target companies refused to engage in talks.

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“In cases where companies have been sold, close to 80 per cent of them were initiated by the buyer approaching the seller, as opposed to companies who decided to sell,” said Michael Carr, global co-head of mergers and acquisitions at Goldman Sachs Group.

“Some of this is driven by buyers who believe they will not face competition, which encourages them to aggressively pressure their targets confidentially with the implied threat that they will go public,” Mr Carr added.

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Unsolicited takeover approaches helped push global M&A to $3.54 trillion in 2017, roughly in line with last year’s $3.5 trillion, according to preliminary Thomson Reuters data. The peak M&A year since 2008 was 2015, when M&A totalled $4.2 trillion.

The deal-making environment has been favourable in the last three years due to the availability of cheap debt financing and high CEO confidence. Geopolitical turmoil, including a potential confrontation over North Korea’s nuclear ambitions and faltering negotiations to form a coalition government in Germany, failed to dampen M&A spirits.

“Geopolitical uncertainty has had relatively little impact on our deals-pipeline this year,” said Cyrus Kapadia, vice chairman of investment banking at Lazard.

“Boards are supportive of deal-making where there is clear strategic rationale – and even in Britain, where Brexit is causing some uncertainty, companies are still pursuing large-scale deals to enhance organic growth,” he added.

M&A up in Europe and Asia-Pacific

A 16 per cent year-on-year drop in M&A in the United States to $1.4 trillion was offset on a global basis by a 16 per cent rise in M&A in Europe to $856bn, and an 11 per cent rise in Asia-Pacific M&A to $912bn, according to Thomson Reuters.

Among this year’s biggest acquisitions were US drugstore chain operator CVS Health Corp’s $69bn agreement to buy health insurer Aetna; Walt Disney’s $52bn deal to buy film and television businesses from Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox; and aerospace supplier United Technologies Corp’s $30bn agreement to buy avionics maker Rockwell Collins.

Many of these deals had stock as part of the purchase price, with acquirers emboldened to use their own shares as currency given their high stock market valuations, as opposed to offering just cash.

“We are seeing a stock component becoming a bigger portion of the offers being made, perhaps because the deals are bigger and transformative, and acquirers are looking to offer targets additional upside in these transactions,” said Stephen Arcano, an M&A partner at law firm Skadden.

Private equity-backed M&A activity totalled $322.6bn globally in 2017, a 27 per cent increase compared to last year, as more buyout firms sought to put money they have raised from their investors to work.

Dealmakers say the prospect of the US tax overhaul has so far had little influence on deal negotiations.

“If you are an acquirer, you are likely modelling a deal where the synergies and the incremental value of combining is what is driving your purchase price and your premium, not an assumption on the underlying tax rate,” said Chris Ventresca, global M&A co-head at ?JPMorgan Chase.

“If you are considering selling the entire company, as long as the buyer is willing to pay your price, you take the certainty of crystallising a premium now with some ability to participate in tax reform upside via buyer stock,” Mr Ventresca added.

Companies may decide to allocate more of their cash to M&A in 2018 following the implementation of the US tax changes, however.

“US companies with lots of cash trapped overseas can now more easily put capital to work in the M&A market, while Europeans may try to take advantage of favourable tax policies to do more deals in the United States,” said Dietrich Becker, co-head of European advisory at Perella Weinberg Partners.

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